‘Toy Story 5’ nears $600M as ‘Supergirl’ slips to $68M in weekend box office update
Europe’s heat wave isn’t fully breaking foreign receipts, but it is changing how studios and theaters market the movies.

Toy Story 5 is nearing $600M while Supergirl falls to $68M and Minions & Monsters starts with $10M, per Deadline’s global box office update. For decision-makers, the weekend shows how weather-linked behavior can still reshape demand even when regional performance looks “steady.”
Europe’s heat wave is the kind of real-world variable that can wreck a weekend at the multiplex. Authorities are advising people to stay indoors, which sounds like box office doom. Yet Deadline’s global box office update says the foreign box office this weekend was not entirely damaged, and that business is “essentially steady” across the region.
The tension matters because it tells you what kind of “steady” you are buying when you underwrite release performance in a weather-volatile market. If audiences are being told to stay indoors, you might assume theaters automatically benefit. But this heat is also making theaters compete against comfort itself. Studios are telling foreign exhibitors to promote air conditioning, which is a very specific shift in the marketing playbook: the pitch is not just story and stars. It’s temperature.
That marketing context sits alongside the headline film numbers in the same update. Deadline reports that Toy Story 5 is nearing $600M. In the same weekend snapshot, Supergirl falls to earth with $68M. Elsewhere in the lineup, Minions & Monsters opens to a $10M start, giving studios and theaters a reminder that the weekend’s performance is being driven by a mix of holdover momentum and new-title gravity.
Here is what makes that more than just trivia. Foreign box office performance is not just about whether people want to see a movie. It is also about whether people want to travel, queue, and sit in a building for two hours when the outside world is punishing. When regulators and local authorities urge people to stay indoors, that can increase the “indoor attendance pool.” But the pool is not automatically theater-shaped. If theaters feel like overheated public rooms, the pool can defect to streaming, home deliveries, or other indoor activities.
So studios pushing air conditioning promotions is a second-order response to the first-order problem, and it is likely to be a line item that financiers and marketers should take seriously. The heat wave is effectively forcing a battle for perceived comfort. In a normal weekend, a trailer earns interest. In this one, the theater’s environment might be the deciding factor that turns interest into attendance.
For executives, there is also a portfolio lesson in how different titles are landing. Toy Story 5 near $600M signals that big, tentpole franchises can still pull crowds even when external conditions are hostile. Supergirl at $68M suggests that even with demand for the genre or brand awareness, a title can face a ceiling if the weekend’s behavior changes. Meanwhile, a $10M start for Minions & Monsters shows that openings remain sensitive to weekend foot traffic patterns, because new releases typically depend more heavily on Friday-to-Sunday momentum.
This matters for how boards and leadership teams think about risk. Weather is not a typical KPI. But it becomes one through behavior. When authorities advise people to stay indoors, the “default indoors” outcome does not guarantee theatrical outcomes. It creates a new marketplace where theaters must explicitly win the comfort argument. If they do not, the steady headline could hide a scramble inside the funnel, where engagement exists but conversion suffers.
There is also an operational implication for exhibitors in how they promote and manage the experience. If studios are telling foreign exhibitors to push air conditioning, it is because exhibs need to make the environmental value visible, fast. That can change everything from lobby messaging to social posts to the tone of the promotional graphics. In practice, the theater becomes not just a venue, but a service guarantee. That is especially relevant in hot climates where “steady” foreign business can mean theaters are clawing back demand by leaning into practical benefits rather than relying on cinematic hype alone.
Strategic stakes for peers in similar roles are straightforward: when external conditions are disruptive, the winners treat it as a commercial problem, not a public relations problem. Deadline’s update describes steady foreign business overall, but it also makes clear that the heat wave environment requires active adaptation by studios and exhibitors. If you are underwriting release performance or planning campaigns, you should assume weather-linked behavior will change the equation, and comfort messaging can become a lever as real as marketing spend. The weekend’s data points are the reminder: big franchises can keep pulling, but every title still has to win the room it is competing for, in real time.
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